Bank of England
Base Rate Projection

The Traders Opinion

Where the market thinks
The Bank of England Base Rate is going

Updated 16th October 2024

Market Consensus Forecast for BoE Rates implied from SONIA Futures

• This Market Consensus Forecast is generated using data on publicly-traded Sterling Overnight Interbank Average Futures and other closely related benchmark interest rates.
• Using this information a forward term structure for the full yield curve is generated.
•  The term structure is interpolated and smoothed using a three-factor parametrization model, generating the final forecast. This forecast can be interpreted as the periodic mean market-expected values of Sterling Overnight Rates.
• The Sterling Overnight Interbank Average Rate is a measure of overnight lending rates between banks using British sterling.  It is administered by the Bank of England and is frequently used as a standardized measure of risk-free interest rates by U.K. Authorities.

• This information is a guide only and should not be relied on as a recommendation or advice that any particular mortgage or investment strategy is suitable for you
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